Excavations


... nothing is more essential to public interest than the preservation of public liberty.

- David Hume



Showing posts with label attack. Show all posts
Showing posts with label attack. Show all posts

Monday, April 4, 2022

On the unpreparedness for war: expect the unexpected

During the Second World War Germans would scoff at the Russians, and one of the jokes was of a Russian POW who came across a German soldier’s watch.  But it didn’t work.  In a moment of insight the Russian realized the problem exclaiming: “Ah! The mechanic is dead!” 

Yet there were real-life equivalencies to the Russian war experience, which posed problems for Stalin.  As Soviet troops advanced on Berlin, they discovered that the Western capitalist swine (so-called), be they Fascist or not, also had the benefits of flush toilets, something unknown to most, if not all, of ‘mother Russia’.  As a result, the invading troops also had to be ‘de-contaminated’ upon the war’s end.

Today, as Russian troops attack Ukraine, there are other psychological problems faced by Putin’s forces who are fighting an undeclared war.  In Russia, it is illegal to talk about the activity in Ukraine as a “war”, or as anything other than a “special military exercise” where Russian-language minorities in Eastern Ukraine might welcome Putin’s ‘help’.  This puts Russian troops at a tremendous psychological disadvantage, because they are not – or were not – anticipating full-on war as their tanks rolled towards Kyiv and other Ukrainian cities.  In effect, Russia’s effort amounts to a kind of “Mission Impossible” writ large. We know Putin succeeded in the KGB, but can he effectively mobilize a nation over an official secret?

Perhaps this is why Russian troops are committing war crimes (if reason can be attributable to such atrocities), news of which is now surfacing in widespread media reports.   Possibly still thinking of the enemy as “Nazis”, Russians are not only fighting Ukranian soldiers, but find themselves pitted against an entire citizenry, who are prepared to defend their country to the death.  So the Russian forces appear to be either seeking vengeance at their own unanticipated war shock or wanting to settle “historical” scores, which is less likely. When making war, one should always expect the unexpected: what can go wrong, will, and this was the greatest lesson of the First World War, “the war to end all wars”. In August 1914 the British had no military plans, and of the European powers they fared better than others, precisely because they had no plans.  In February 2022, the Russians began to stall, then flail, simply because their forces did not know of any plans, although there was one, yet troops had not been prepared mentally for the actual grim combat of war against Ukraine.

It is also worth noting that according to the Gini Index, which ranks the income disparities of each nation across much of the globe, Ukraine (along with Finland, interestingly) is placed among the top ten countries where income disparity is least.  In other words, the Ukranian sense of  ‘solidarity’, ‘nationhood’ and perhaps ‘selflessness’ are well developed, as there is less social ‘envy’ or ‘conflict’ - and success against the Russians is not just attributable to Volodymyr Zelensky’s thespian oratory.  Put another way: the country was long primed for shared action, culturally, politically - and economically. Today Ukranians are still determined to defend themselves, and when coupled with military weapons from the West, their spirit becomes a beacon of hope against the powers of a bloodthirsty autocrat. 

Thursday, March 3, 2022

Found: Horror and Purpose in Ukraine

 

They were long, narrow, and very strong steel frameworks carrying the engines, and borne upon eight pairs of big pedrail wheels, each about ten feet in diameter, each a driving wheel and set upon axles free to swivel round a common axis.  This gave them the maximum adaptability to the contours of the ground.  They crawled level along the ground with one foot high upon a hillock and another deep in a depression, and they would likely hold themselves erect and steady sideways upon even a steep hillside.[1]

H.G. Wells, The Land Ironclads (1903)



[1] Quoted in Frank Field, British and French Writers of the First World War: Comparative Studies in Cultural History (New York: Cambridge University Press, 2008), p. 126.  H.G. Wells was the first person to anticipate the armoured tank.


Thursday, February 24, 2022

Taking Ukraine: Putin’s Legacy Project

Why are Putin’s forces attacking Ukraine?  The simple answer is that dates matter in history, particularly when someone wants to evoke a memory and leave a legacy.  For example, Napoleon III’s coup and his other activities recalled the anniversaries of important military victories achieved by his far more famous uncle.  Another example is the French Revolution of 1789 which recalled, in part, England’s ‘Glorious Revolution’ of 1689, while the 200th anniversary of the former, in 1989, echoed at both Tiananmen Square and the fall of the Berlin Wall.

Putin will be turning 70 years of age in October.  More aware now of his own mortality, the year 2022 is also the 100th anniversary of Lenin’s establishment of the USSR, which was founded on December 30, 1922.  Ukraine was part of the USSR since its inception.  Putin probably intends that Ukraine belong to Russia by the time this calendar year is completed. 

Lenin, who suffered from series of strokes beginning in 1922, died just over a year after the creation of the Soviet Union, but, before his death in early 1924, warned others of Stalin, thinking of him as too rough and not the best of comrades.  The succession battle that followed was won, as we all know, by Stalin, whom Putin admires.  In this way, by attacking Ukraine, Putin reconnects with the memory of both Lenin and Stalin while securing Russia’s border for the eventual succession battle that will follow Putin’s own demise. It is doubtful that Putin wants to recreate the Eastern Bloc complete with its Iron Curtain, which included Poland, for example.  But Belarus was part of the original USSR, so it might follow the path of Ukraine today, if need be.  It is the borders of the old Soviet Union which has captured Putin’s imagination, and that could also include Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia (added in 1940), so beware of cultural memory and aging men, especially if you know of a former KGB agent as head of state.